Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 12.315435 14.122764 16.052264 18.259764 20.709524 23.338854 26.368278
2025-11-09 9.489257 11.864755 14.576431 17.879173 21.770109 26.184720 31.547420
2025-11-16 7.756477 10.377456 13.527922 17.550125 22.501348 28.347602 35.718923
2025-11-23 6.411849 9.110879 12.505748 17.019359 22.785506 29.823383 38.971688
2025-11-30 5.621556 8.419241 12.078848 17.114876 23.750967 32.074747 43.166006
2025-12-07 4.971028 7.819969 11.684220 17.171313 24.606004 34.160111 47.170793
2025-12-14 4.471449 7.363480 11.419605 17.345882 25.579096 36.389528 51.395736
2025-12-21 4.002998 6.893464 11.080816 17.367949 26.311360 38.292995 55.222936
2025-12-28 3.719718 6.666699 11.060165 17.816103 27.625096 40.995285 60.175125
2026-01-04 3.433227 6.401120 10.952018 18.113931 28.718804 43.413623 64.797514
2026-01-11 3.124409 6.064650 10.703241 18.174117 29.454019 45.338990 68.780012
2026-01-18 2.735663 5.551313 10.133762 17.701331 29.368020 46.082321 71.113471
2026-01-25 2.415176 5.124121 9.671290 17.367378 29.475047 47.110575 73.896607
2026-02-01 2.126748 4.720845 9.212723 17.003195 29.506245 48.014351 76.513121
2026-02-08 1.881129 4.367117 8.805306 16.687433 29.582606 48.967861 79.207290
2026-02-15 1.634372 3.980007 8.304858 16.178159 29.316785 49.382872 81.101194
2026-02-22 1.502381 3.806293 8.168103 16.269799 30.006899 51.253739 85.193265
2026-03-01 1.378206 3.633556 8.017641 16.323948 30.629911 53.030631 89.179808
2026-03-08 1.279924 3.504272 7.936752 16.491447 31.439718 55.112474 93.672146
2026-03-15 1.173380 3.343312 7.781299 16.512621 31.998523 56.808671 97.607152
2026-03-22 1.120808 3.299414 7.850168 16.942686 33.262351 59.650377 103.371541
2026-03-29 1.056828 3.220845 7.842932 17.228537 34.284294 62.127125 108.618636
2026-04-05 0.975723 3.090403 7.719309 17.286307 34.907124 63.970573 112.907775